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Market Recession Indicator Slowdown
40.2%
Recession Probability
Bond Market 20%
-15 K
Copper & Oil 25%
Cu: 18.2 | Oil: 10.5
Equity Sentiment 25%
ES: -2
Volatility (VIX) 15%
-4.5 K
Fundamentals 15%
Fwd P/E: 19.7
Historical Trend
Macro Recession Indicator Slowdown
49%
Recession Probability
PMI Signal 30%
50.3 pts
Labor Market 25%
U: 4.3%
GDP Growth 20%
0.7%
Rate / Inflation Stress 15%
Rate: 3.75%
Consumer / Production 10%
CC: 53.3
Historical Trend
Forward P/E vs S&P 500
Fwd P/E: 19.7x S&P 500: 413
■ Cheap <16x ■ Fair 16–22x ■ Expensive >22x