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Name ACTUAL Forecast Current Q Forecast Next Q Forecast Next 2 Q Forecast Next 3 Q Forecast Next Year
Currency
 99.60
 99.61
 99.01
 98.58
 98.13
 0
Stock Market (points)
 7753.53
 7384
 7175
 7023
 6875
 0
Government Bond 10Y (%)
 4.65
 4.7
 4.62
 4.56
 4.5
 0
GDP Growth Rate (%)
 1.50
 0.9
 2
 2.2
 2.4
 0
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%)
 2.10
 1.8
 1.6
 2.3
 2.5
 0
Unemployment Rate (%)
 4.10
 4.3
 4.3
 4.4
 4.4
 0
Non Farm Payrolls (Thousand)
 -23.00
 120
 60
 60
 130
 0
Inflation Rate (%)
 3.50
 3.7
 3.4
 3.1
 2.9
 0
Inflation Rate MoM (%)
 -0.40
 0.5
 0.3
 0.4
 0.2
 0
Interest Rate (%)
 3.75
 3.75
 4
 4
 4.25
 0
Balance of Trade (USD Billion)
 -73.26
 -60
 -58
 -50
 -50
 0
Current Account (USD Billion)
 -226.83
 -190
 -170
 -180
 -200
 0
Manufacturing PMI (points)
 53.90
 53
 52
 51
 51.3
 0
Non Manufacturing PMI (points)
 54.10
 54
 52.9
 52
 54
 0
Services PMI (points)
 54.60
 53
 50.9
 51
 51.2
 0
Business Confidence (points)
 55.60
 54
 55
 53
 54
 0
Consumer Confidence (points)
 55.20
 52
 54
 55.9
 57
 0
Retail Sales MoM (%)
 0.20
 0.1
 0.1
 0.2
 0.5
 0
Building Permits (Thousand)
 1374.00
 1360
 1380
 1410
 1390
 0
GDP Constant Prices (USD Billion)
 24270.60
 24459
 24441
 24737
 24877
 0
Gross National Product (USD Billion)
 24246.70
 24497
 24560
 24804
 24853
 0
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (USD Billion)
 4551.00
 4468
 4476
 4578
 4665
 0
GDP from Services (USD Billion)
 17664.60
 17845
 17913
 18071
 18106
 0
GDP from Construction (USD Billion)
 889.20
 905
 899
 910
 911
 0
GDP from Transport (USD Billion)
 747.00
 770
 761
 764
 766
 0
GDP from Manufacturing (USD Billion)
 2448.90
 2478
 2447
 2505
 2510
 0
GDP from Public Administration (USD Billion)
 2595.50
 2648
 2590
 2655
 2660
 0
GDP from Mining (USD Billion)
 375.30
 376
 381
 384
 385
 0
GDP from Utilities (USD Billion)
 357.20
 360
 356
 365
 366
 0
GDP from Agriculture (USD Billion)
 207.60
 204
 212
 212
 213
 0
Nonfarm Payrolls Private (Thousand)
 30.00
 95
 80
 93
 105
 0
Initial Jobless Claims (Thousand)
 199.00
 227
 218
 190
 195
 0
Continuing Jobless Claims (Thousand)
 1801.00
 1890
 1900
 1850
 1920
 0
ADP Employment Change (Thousand)
 44.00
 75
 60
 70
 110
 0
Employed Persons (Thousand)
 162177.00
 162800
 162700
 162700
 162100
 0
Unemployed Persons (Thousand )
 6916.00
 7390
 7440
 7460
 7430
 0
Average Hourly Earnings (%)
 0.10
 0.2
 0.2
 0.2
 0.3
 0
Average Weekly Hours (Hours)
 34.30
 34.2
 34.3
 34.3
 34.3
 0
Labor Force Participation Rate (%)
 61.40
 61.4
 61.5
 61.2
 61.3
 0
Long Term Unemployment Rate (%)
 1.05
 1.15
 1.18
 1.18
 1.21
 0
Youth Unemployment Rate (%)
 8.50
 8.7
 8.7
 8.8
 8.8
 0
Productivity (points)
 120.02
 117
 116
 117
 116
 0
Labour Costs (points)
 123.78
 123
 124
 124
 124
 0
Job Vacancies (Thousand)
 7140.00
 6630
 6600
 6590
 6570
 0
Job Offers (Thousand)
 7359.00
 6700
 6650
 6620
 6600
 0
Challenger Job Cuts (Persons)
 33429.00
 78000
 73000
 82000
 89000
 0
Wages (USD/Hour)
 32.40
 32.79
 33.04
 33.31
 33.56
 0
Wages in Manufacturing (USD/Hour)
 30.35
 30.36
 30.63
 31.08
 31.44
 0
Wage Growth (%)
 4.25
 3.9
 3.8
 3.7
 3.7
 0
Employment Cost Index (%)
 0.90
 0.6
 0.5
 0.5
 0.6
 0
U6 Unemployment Rate (%)
 7.90
 8.1
 8.1
 8.2
 8.2
 0
Average Hourly Earnings YoY (%)
 3.20
 3.3
 3.2
 3.2
 3.1
 0
Full Time Employment (Thousand)
 133553.00
 134000
 133900
 133800
 133700
 0
Part Time Employment (Thousand)
 28764.00
 28500
 28100
 28000
 27900
 0
Consumer Price Index CPI (points)
 333.95
 337
 335
 340
 344
 0
Core Consumer Prices (points)
 336.07
 340
 341
 343
 345
 0
Core Inflation Rate (%)
 2.60
 2.8
 2.8
 2.7
 2.6
 0
GDP Deflator (points)
 133.81
 134
 135
 136
 138
 0
Producer Prices (points)
 156.57
 159
 159
 161
 162
 0
Producer Prices Change (%)
 5.50
 5.9
 4.7
 4
 3.7
 0
Export Prices (points)
 167.80
 180
 175
 169
 160
 0
Import Prices (points)
 150.80
 150
 147
 148
 154
 0
Food Inflation (%)
 3.00
 3
 2.8
 2.6
 2.4
 0
Core Producer Prices YoY (%)
 4.70
 4.3
 3.9
 3.6
 3.1
 0
Import Prices YoY (%)
 7.10
 6.5
 3.9
 2.4
 2.2
 0
Core Inflation Rate MoM (%)
 0.00
 0.3
 0.3
 0.2
 0.3
 0
Producer Price Inflation MoM (%)
 -0.30
 0.5
 0.4
 0.4
 0.3
 0
Core PCE Price Index MoM (%)
 0.10
 0.2
 0.2
 0.4
 0.3
 0
PCE Price Index Annual Change (%)
 3.70
 3.2
 2.9
 2.7
 2.6
 0
Core PCE Price Index Annual Change (%)
 3.30
 3.3
 2.9
 2.9
 2.5
 0
CPI seasonally adjusted (points)
 332.57
 334
 335
 337
 337
 0
CPI Housing Utilities (points)
 359.19
 363
 363
 366
 370
 0
Inflation Expectations (%)
 3.60
 3.1
 3
 2.9
 2.7
 0
CPI Transportation (points)
 291.23
 293
 294
 295
 295
 0
Money Supply M2 (USD Billion)
 23155.20
 22870
 22650
 22640
 22000
 0
Central Bank Balance Sheet (USD Million)
 6748567.00
 6630000
 6600000
 6580000
 6650000
 0
Proxy Funds Rate (%)
 4.55
 4.55
 4.8
 4.8
 5.05
 0
Imports (USD Billion)
 388.00
 385
 398
 380
 360
 0
Exports (USD Billion)
 314.73
 325
 340
 330
 310
 0
Crude Oil Production (BBL/D/1K)
 13714.00
 13770
 13700
 13710
 13750
 0
Tourist Arrivals
 5761256.00
 5521000
 5780000
 5780000
 5310000
 0
Composite PMI (points)
 54.50
 52.5
 51.6
 51.7
 52
 0
Industrial Production (%)
 1.10
 0.6
 0.5
 1
 1.3
 0
Manufacturing Production (%)
 1.10
 1.3
 1
 1.2
 1.5
 0
Capacity Utilization (%)
 76.10
 77
 77.2
 77.1
 76.9
 0
Durable Goods Orders (%)
 0.30
 0.2
 0.7
 1.2
 1.7
 0
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation (%)
 0.60
 0.3
 0.8
 1
 1.3
 0
Factory Orders Ex Transportation (%)
 -0.40
 0.4
 1.3
 1.6
 2
 0
Factory Orders (%)
 -0.30
 0.3
 0.9
 0.9
 1.8
 0
Business Inventories (%)
 0.30
 0.2
 0.2
 0.9
 1
 0
Wholesale Inventories (%)
 0.20
 0.1
 0.5
 0.8
 1
 0
Bankruptcies (Companies)
 25960.00
 25100
 25400
 25600
 27000
 0
Corporate Profits (USD Billion)
 3623.72
 3600
 3700
 3790
 3820
 0
NFIB Business Optimism Index (points)
 97.40
 96
 95
 97
 98
 0
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (points)
 15.60
 -9
 6
 8
 10
 0
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
 41.40
 7
 8
 11
 13
 0
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
 5.00
 -1
 3
 3
 4
 0
Chicago Fed National Activity Index (points)
 -0.02
 -0.1
 -0.1
 0.2
 0.3
 0
Chicago PMI (points)
 57.60
 55.9
 54
 51
 52
 0
Car Registrations (Thousand)
 226.90
 220
 210
 220
 200
 0
Total Vehicle Sales (Million)
 24.10
 14.7
 15
 15
 14.9
 0
Car Production (Million Units)
 10.71
 10.8
 10.5
 10.4
 10.4
 0
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
 17.00
 -1
 4
 6
 8
 0
Retail Sales Ex Autos (%)
 -0.20
 -0.1
 0.1
 0.2
 0.3
 0
Retail Sales YoY (%)
 6.70
 5.2
 4
 3
 3.2
 0
Consumer Spending (USD Billion)
 16817.90
 16884
 16932
 17072
 17238
 0
Disposable Personal Income (USD Billion)
 23651.70
 23700
 23710
 23800
 23900
 0
Personal Spending (%)
 0.30
 0.1
 0.1
 0.1
 0.4
 0
Personal Income (%)
 0.20
 0.1
 0.3
 0.3
 0.2
 0
Personal Savings (%)
 2.70
 3.6
 3.7
 3.5
 3.4
 0
Consumer Credit (USD Billion)
 14.17
 5
 9
 12
 14
 0
Bank Lending Rate (%)
 6.75
 6.75
 7
 7
 7.25
 0
Economic Optimism Index (points)
 45.10
 47
 48
 49
 48
 0
Retail Sales Ex Gas and Autos MoM (%)
 0.40
 0.2
 0.3
 0.4
 0.3
 0
Gasoline Prices (USD/Liter)
 1.04
 0.92
 0.77
 0.77
 0.77
 0
Housing Starts (Thousand units)
 1427.00
 1300
 1320
 1350
 1320
 0
New Home Sales (Thousand units)
 628.00
 620
 610
 610
 620
 0
Pending Home Sales (%)
 -0.30
 1
 0.8
 -0.3
 0.2
 0
Existing Home Sales (Thousand)
 4090.00
 3900
 3700
 3600
 3500
 0
Construction Spending (%)
 -0.10
 0.2
 0.2
 0.1
 0.4
 0
Nahb Housing Market Index (points)
 34.00
 42
 43
 48
 51
 0
Mortgage Rate (%)
 6.81
 6.4
 6.3
 6.1
 6
 0
Case Shiller Home Price Index YoY (%)
 1.60
 1.5
 1.2
 1.4
 1.6
 0
Case Shiller Home Price Index (points)
 348.62
 343
 341
 347
 354
 0
Crude Oil Rigs
 454.00
 435
 440
 440
 450
 0