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Name ACTUAL Forecast Current Q Forecast Next Q Forecast Next 2 Q Forecast Next 3 Q Forecast Next Year
Currency
101.23
101
99.9
99.44
98.96
0
Stock Market (points)
7331.89
7483
7195
7047
6901
0
Government Bond 10Y (%)
4.39
4.45
4.35
4.29
4.24
0
Consumer Confidence (points)
48.90
50
52
54
55.9
0
Retail Sales MoM (%)
0.90
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.2
0
Building Permits (Thousand)
1410.00
1280
1360
1380
1410
0
GDP Growth Rate (%)
2.10
1.1
0.9
2
2.2
0
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%)
2.70
1.9
1.8
1.6
2.3
0
GDP Constant Prices (USD Billion)
24180.40
24223
24459
24441
24737
0
Gross National Product (USD Billion)
24246.70
24226
24497
24560
24804
0
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (USD Billion)
4475.10
4464
4468
4476
4578
0
GDP from Services (USD Billion)
17664.60
17634
17845
17913
18071
0
GDP from Construction (USD Billion)
889.20
908
905
899
910
0
GDP from Transport (USD Billion)
747.00
758
770
761
764
0
GDP from Agriculture (USD Billion)
207.60
200
204
212
212
0
GDP from Utilities (USD Billion)
357.20
347
360
356
365
0
GDP from Mining (USD Billion)
375.30
373
376
381
384
0
GDP from Manufacturing (USD Billion)
2448.90
2451
2478
2447
2505
0
GDP from Public Administration (USD Billion)
2595.50
2653
2648
2590
2655
0
Unemployment Rate (%)
4.30
4.5
4.5
4.4
4.5
0
Non Farm Payrolls (Thousand)
172.00
90
120
60
80
0
Nonfarm Payrolls Private (Thousand)
120.00
100
95
80
93
0
Initial Jobless Claims (Thousand)
215.00
220
227
218
190
0
Continuing Jobless Claims (Thousand)
1821.00
1870
1890
1900
1850
0
ADP Employment Change (Thousand)
122.00
85
75
60
70
0
Employed Persons (Thousand)
162771.00
162500
162800
162700
162500
0
Unemployed Persons (Thousand )
7307.00
7380
7390
7440
7460
0
Average Hourly Earnings (%)
0.30
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.2
0
Average Weekly Hours (Hours)
34.30
34.2
34.2
34.3
34.3
0
Labor Force Participation Rate (%)
61.80
61.7
61.4
61.5
61.2
0
Long Term Unemployment Rate (%)
1.17
1.15
1.15
1.18
1.2
0
Youth Unemployment Rate (%)
9.40
9.6
9.6
9.5
9.6
0
Labour Costs (points)
123.78
123
123
124
124
0
Productivity (points)
119.40
119
117
116
117
0
Job Vacancies (Thousand)
8176.00
6650
6630
6600
6590
0
Job Offers (Thousand)
7618.00
6850
6700
6650
6620
0
Challenger Job Cuts (Persons)
97006.00
85000
98000
73000
82000
0
Wages (USD/Hour)
32.31
32.56
32.79
33.04
33.31
0
Wages in Manufacturing (USD/Hour)
30.19
30.15
30.36
30.63
31.08
0
Wage Growth (%)
3.82
4
3.9
3.8
3.7
0
Employment Cost Index (%)
0.90
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0
U6 Unemployment Rate (%)
8.10
8.3
8.3
8.2
8.3
0
Average Hourly Earnings YoY (%)
3.40
3.4
3.3
3.2
3.2
0
Full Time Employment (Thousand)
134173.00
134200
134000
133900
133800
0
Part Time Employment (Thousand)
28679.00
28400
28500
28100
28000
0
Inflation Rate (%)
4.20
3.9
4
3.8
3.3
0
Inflation Rate MoM (%)
0.50
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.4
0
Consumer Price Index CPI (points)
335.12
335
338
336
341
0
Core Consumer Prices (points)
336.12
337
340
342
344
0
Core Inflation Rate (%)
2.90
2.8
2.9
3
2.8
0
GDP Deflator (points)
131.78
133
135
136
136
0
Producer Prices (points)
157.66
159
160
159
161
0
Producer Prices Change (%)
6.50
7.2
6.5
4.7
4
0
Export Prices (points)
168.60
170
180
175
169
0
Import Prices (points)
150.50
148
150
147
148
0
Food Inflation (%)
3.10
2.9
3
2.8
2.6
0
Import Prices YoY (%)
6.70
5.4
6.5
3.9
2.4
0
Core Producer Prices YoY (%)
4.90
5.2
4.3
3.9
3.6
0
Core PCE Price Index MoM (%)
0.30
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.4
0
Core Inflation Rate MoM (%)
0.20
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0
Producer Price Inflation MoM (%)
1.10
0.8
0.5
0.4
0.4
0
PCE Price Index Annual Change (%)
4.10
3.7
3.2
2.9
2.7
0
Core PCE Price Index Annual Change (%)
3.40
3.2
3.3
2.9
2.6
0
CPI seasonally adjusted (points)
333.98
335
337
338
339
0
CPI Transportation (points)
298.41
300
301
302
303
0
CPI Housing Utilities (points)
358.39
361
364
364
367
0
Inflation Expectations (%)
3.50
3.7
3.8
3.5
2.9
0
Interest Rate (%)
3.75
3.75
3.75
4
4
0
Money Supply M2 (USD Billion)
22804.50
22790
22870
22650
22640
0
Central Bank Balance Sheet (USD Million)
6735645.00
6710000
6630000
6600000
6580000
0
Proxy Funds Rate (%)
4.33
4.33
4.33
4.58
4.58
0
Balance of Trade (USD Billion)
-55.88
-70
-60
-58
-50
0
Current Account (USD Billion)
-226.83
-220
-190
-170
-180
0
Exports (USD Billion)
327.10
320
325
340
330
0
Imports (USD Billion)
382.98
390
385
398
380
0
Crude Oil Production (BBL/D/1K)
13696.00
13650
13470
13500
13400
0
Tourist Arrivals
5537310.00
5490200
5521000
5780000
5580000
0
Services PMI (points)
51.30
51.3
50.6
51
50
0
Business Confidence (points)
54.00
53.6
54
50
48
0
Non Manufacturing PMI (points)
54.50
51.5
51
52
52
0
Manufacturing PMI (points)
55.70
55.7
50.7
52
51
0
Composite PMI (points)
52.20
52.2
50.5
51.6
51
0
Industrial Production (%)
1.70
1.5
0.6
0.5
1
0
Manufacturing Production (%)
1.40
1
1.3
1
1.2
0
Capacity Utilization (%)
76.20
76.7
77
77.2
77.1
0
Durable Goods Orders (%)
-4.50
0.3
0.2
0.7
1.2
0
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation (%)
1.30
0.4
0.3
0.8
1
0
Factory Orders Ex Transportation (%)
1.30
0.5
0.4
1.3
1.6
0
Factory Orders (%)
4.80
0.4
0.3
0.9
1.4
0
Business Inventories (%)
0.50
-0.2
0.2
0.4
0.9
0
Wholesale Inventories (%)
0.30
0.2
0.1
0.5
0.8
0
Bankruptcies (Companies)
25960.00
25200
25100
25400
25600
0
Corporate Profits (USD Billion)
3623.72
3750
3600
3700
3790
0
NFIB Business Optimism Index (points)
95.30
96
94
92
95
0
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (points)
5.70
12
-9
6
8
0
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
10.30
9
7
8
11
0
Chicago Fed National Activity Index (points)
-0.10
-0.5
-0.1
0.1
0.2
0
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
4.00
7
-1
3
2
0
Chicago PMI (points)
62.70
61
48
49
51
0
Car Production (Million Units)
10.63
10.6
10.8
10.5
10.4
0
Total Vehicle Sales (Million)
16.10
15.6
14.7
15
15
0
Car Registrations (Thousand)
250.90
200
220
210
220
0
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
19.00
7
-1
4
6
0
Retail Sales Ex Autos (%)
0.80
0.4
-0.1
0.1
0.2
0
Retail Sales YoY (%)
6.90
6.7
2.2
2.5
3
0
Consumer Spending (USD Billion)
16687.70
16758
16884
16932
17072
0
Disposable Personal Income (USD Billion)
23472.20
23600
23700
23710
23800
0
Personal Spending (%)
0.70
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0
Personal Income (%)
0.70
0.2
0.1
0.3
0.3
0
Personal Savings (%)
3.00
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.5
0
Consumer Credit (USD Billion)
20.73
7
5
9
12
0
Bank Lending Rate (%)
6.75
6.75
6.5
6.5
6.5
0
Economic Optimism Index (points)
42.50
45
50
54
51
0
Retail Sales Ex Gas and Autos MoM (%)
0.50
0.3
-0.1
0.4
0.4
0
Gasoline Prices (USD/Liter)
1.18
1.08
0.92
0.77
0.77
0
Housing Starts (Thousand units)
1177.00
1200
1300
1320
1350
0
New Home Sales (Thousand units)
580.00
650
620
610
610
0
Pending Home Sales (%)
4.80
1.3
1
0.8
-0.3
0
Existing Home Sales (Thousand)
4170.00
3800
3900
3700
3600
0
Construction Spending (%)
0.40
0.6
0.2
0.2
0.1
0
Nahb Housing Market Index (points)
35.00
36
42
43
48
0
Mortgage Rate (%)
6.59
6.5
6.4
6.3
6.1
0
Case Shiller Home Price Index YoY (%)
0.80
0.6
1
1.2
1.4
0
Case Shiller Home Price Index (points)
341.74
345
342
341
347
0
Crude Oil Rigs
433.00
430
435
440
440
0