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Name ACTUAL Forecast Current Q Forecast Next Q Forecast Next 2 Q Forecast Next 3 Q Forecast Next Year
Currency
102.28
102
101
101
100
0
Stock Market (points)
7376.86
7471
7262
7108
6958
0
Government Bond 10Y (%)
4.87
4.89
4.81
4.74
4.68
0
GDP Growth Rate (%)
3.40
2
2.2
2.4
2.8
0
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%)
3.40
1.6
2.3
2.5
2.4
0
Unemployment Rate (%)
4.10
4.3
4.3
4.4
4.4
0
Non Farm Payrolls (Thousand)
165.00
60
80
130
110
0
Inflation Rate (%)
3.70
3.4
3.1
2.9
2.7
0
Inflation Rate MoM (%)
0.60
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0
Interest Rate (%)
4.00
4.25
4.25
4.25
4.25
0
Balance of Trade (USD Billion)
-105.05
-109
-109
-116
-115
0
Current Account (USD Billion)
-246.00
-270
-280
-200
-220
0
Non Manufacturing PMI (points)
54.50
52.9
52.9
54
53.6
0
Manufacturing PMI (points)
54.90
54
51
51.3
51.5
0
Business Confidence (points)
55.50
55
53
54
53
0
Services PMI (points)
56.10
55.9
52
51.2
51.6
0
Consumer Confidence (points)
51.00
52.9
55.9
57
57
0
Retail Sales MoM (%)
0.80
0.1
0.2
0.5
0.4
0
Building Permits (Thousand)
1398.00
1380
1410
1390
1340
0
GDP Constant Prices (USD Billion)
24611.10
24512
24833
25018
25202
0
Gross National Product (USD Billion)
24423.00
24565
24834
25034
25009
0
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (USD Billion)
4751.20
4565
4665
4762
4865
0
GDP from Manufacturing (USD Billion)
2470.60
2459
2507
2532
2530
0
GDP from Public Administration (USD Billion)
2588.70
2590
2648
2653
2651
0
GDP from Services (USD Billion)
17905.60
17985
18203
18353
18335
0
GDP from Construction (USD Billion)
870.00
878
883
892
891
0
GDP from Transport (USD Billion)
704.00
737
741
722
721
0
GDP from Mining (USD Billion)
389.60
410
407
399
399
0
GDP from Utilities (USD Billion)
395.70
389
397
406
405
0
GDP from Agriculture (USD Billion)
187.50
195
189
192
192
0
Nonfarm Payrolls Private (Thousand)
159.00
70
93
105
102
0
Initial Jobless Claims (Thousand)
189.00
211
190
195
193
0
Continuing Jobless Claims (Thousand)
1718.00
1800
1850
1920
1930
0
ADP Employment Change (Thousand)
86.00
60
70
110
95
0
Employed Persons (Thousand)
163615.00
162700
162700
162100
162400
0
Unemployed Persons (Thousand )
7068.00
7310
7360
7330
7350
0
Average Hourly Earnings (%)
0.40
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.3
0
Average Weekly Hours (Hours)
34.40
34.3
34.3
34.3
34.4
0
Labor Force Participation Rate (%)
61.90
61.5
61.3
61.3
61.6
0
Long Term Unemployment Rate (%)
1.15
1.18
1.18
1.21
1.2
0
Youth Unemployment Rate (%)
9.30
9.5
9.5
9.6
9.6
0
Labour Costs (points)
124.39
124
124
125
125
0
Productivity (points)
120.02
121
122
123
124
0
Job Vacancies (Thousand)
7531.00
7600
7490
7470
7410
0
Job Offers (Thousand)
7523.00
6850
6720
6700
6790
0
Challenger Job Cuts (Persons)
43994.00
73000
82000
89000
85000
0
Wages (USD/Hour)
32.75
33.04
33.31
33.51
33.8
0
Wage Growth (%)
4.13
3.8
3.7
3.5
3.6
0
Wages in Manufacturing (USD/Hour)
30.38
30.63
31.07
31.37
31.47
0
Employment Cost Index (%)
0.80
0.5
0.5
0.6
0.7
0
U6 Unemployment Rate (%)
7.90
8.1
8.1
8.2
8.2
0
Average Hourly Earnings YoY (%)
3.10
3.2
3.2
3.1
3.1
0
Full Time Employment (Thousand)
135090.00
133900
133800
133700
133900
0
Part Time Employment (Thousand)
28504.00
28100
28000
27900
28200
0
Consumer Price Index CPI (points)
336.94
335
340
344
346
0
Core Consumer Prices (points)
338.90
341
343
345
347
0
Core Inflation Rate (%)
2.60
2.8
2.7
2.6
2.5
0
GDP Deflator (points)
134.13
135
136
137
138
0
Producer Prices (points)
159.78
160
162
162
165
0
Producer Prices Change (%)
6.30
5.7
5
3.7
3.3
0
Export Prices (points)
170.80
169
169
160
158
0
Import Prices (points)
152.20
147
148
154
155
0
Food Inflation (%)
2.50
2.8
2.6
2.4
2.4
0
Core Producer Prices YoY (%)
5.00
3.9
3.6
3.1
3
0
Import Prices YoY (%)
8.10
3.9
2.4
2.2
2
0
Core Inflation Rate MoM (%)
0.30
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.1
0
Core PCE Price Index MoM (%)
0.30
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.2
0
PCE Price Index Annual Change (%)
3.60
2.9
2.7
2.6
2.6
0
Core PCE Price Index Annual Change (%)
3.10
2.9
2.9
2.5
2.5
0
Producer Price Inflation MoM (%)
1.30
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
0
CPI seasonally adjusted (points)
336.30
337
339
339
340
0
CPI Housing Utilities (points)
361.39
363
366
370
371
0
CPI Transportation (points)
295.86
297
298
299
299
0
Inflation Expectations (%)
3.90
3.4
3
2.7
2.8
0
Money Supply M2 (USD Billion)
23342.80
23710
23900
24100
24150
0
Central Bank Balance Sheet (USD Million)
6748145.00
6738000
67389000
6739000
6740000
0
Proxy Funds Rate (%)
4.49
4.74
4.74
4.74
4.74
0
Exports (USD Billion)
321.51
316
311
310
314
0
Imports (USD Billion)
426.56
425
420
426
429
0
Crude Oil Production (BBL/D/1K)
13965.00
13700
13710
13750
13790
0
Tourist Arrivals
6754679.00
5780000
5780000
5310000
5690000
0
Composite PMI (points)
55.90
54
51.7
52
52.6
0
Industrial Production (%)
2.20
0.5
1
1.3
1.5
0
Manufacturing Production (%)
1.10
1
1.2
1.5
1.9
0
Capacity Utilization (%)
76.90
76.7
76.9
76.9
77
0
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation (%)
0.50
0.8
1
1.3
0.7
0
Durable Goods Orders (%)
1.80
0.7
1.2
1.7
1
0
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense (%)
2.30
1.3
1
2.2
0.8
0
Factory Orders Ex Transportation (%)
1.30
1.3
1.6
2
1.2
0
Factory Orders (%)
1.80
0.9
0.9
1.8
1.1
0
Business Inventories (%)
0.40
0.2
0.9
1
0.4
0
Wholesale Inventories (%)
0.60
0.5
0.8
1
0.9
0
Bankruptcies (Companies)
26941.00
27400
27600
28000
27800
0
Corporate Profits (USD Billion)
3877.43
3900
3990
4020
4060
0
NFIB Business Optimism Index (points)
97.90
95
97
98
99
0
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
20.90
18
11
13
21
0
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (points)
25.50
6
8
10
15
0
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
-2.00
3
3
4
7
0
Chicago Fed National Activity Index (points)
0.07
-0.1
0.2
0.3
0.2
0
Chicago PMI (points)
55.30
50
51
52
53
0
Total Vehicle Sales (Million)
15.50
16
16
14.9
14.8
0
Car Production (Million Units)
10.21
10.5
10.4
10.4
10.3
0
Car Registrations (Thousand)
209.30
210
220
200
190
0
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
16.00
4
6
8
15
0
Retail Sales Ex Autos (%)
0.90
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.3
0
Retail Sales YoY (%)
6.30
4
3
3.2
2.9
0
Consumer Spending (USD Billion)
16944.90
16870
17017
17208
17352
0
Disposable Personal Income (USD Billion)
24223.20
23710
23800
23900
23950
0
Personal Spending (%)
0.50
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.3
0
Personal Income (%)
0.20
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.3
0
Personal Savings (%)
3.80
3
3.1
3.2
3
0
Consumer Credit (USD Billion)
27.84
9
12
14
16
0
Bank Lending Rate (%)
7.00
7.25
7.25
7.25
7.25
0
Economic Optimism Index (points)
48.50
48
49
48
49
0
Retail Sales Ex Gas and Autos MoM (%)
0.20
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.4
0
Gasoline Prices (USD/Liter)
1.14
1.24
1.31
1.37
1.43
0
Housing Starts (Thousand units)
1221.00
1320
1350
1320
1300
0
New Home Sales (Thousand units)
676.00
610
610
620
612
0
Pending Home Sales (%)
-11.30
0.8
-0.3
0.2
0.4
0
Existing Home Sales (Thousand)
3990.00
3700
3600
3500
3400
0
Construction Spending (%)
-1.90
0.2
0.1
0.4
0.3
0
Nahb Housing Market Index (points)
29.00
33
36
37
39
0
Mortgage Rate (%)
7.30
6.91
6.95
7
7
0
Case Shiller Home Price Index YoY (%)
2.70
2.7
2.5
2.6
2.8
0
Case Shiller Home Price Index (points)
348.97
346
351
360
359
0
Crude Oil Rigs
463.00
440
440
450
455
0