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Name ACTUAL Forecast Current Q Forecast Next Q Forecast Next 2 Q Forecast Next 3 Q Forecast Next Year
Currency
 97.71
 96.63
 96.03
 95.44
 103
 0
Stock Market (points)
 6716.27
 6252
 6058
 5870
 5870
 0
Government Bond 10Y (%)
 4.12
 3.99
 3.93
 3.86
 3.86
 0
GDP Growth Rate (%)
 3.80
 2.1
 1.8
 1.1
 0.9
 0
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%)
 2.10
 1.6
 1.7
 1.9
 1.8
 0
Unemployment Rate (%)
 4.30
 4.5
 4.5
 4.5
 4.4
 0
Non Farm Payrolls (Thousand)
 22.00
 80
 90
 100
 75
 0
Inflation Rate (%)
 2.90
 3.1
 2.9
 2.8
 2.7
 0
Inflation Rate MoM (%)
 0.40
 0.2
 0.1
 0.4
 0.5
 0
Interest Rate (%)
 4.25
 3.75
 3.75
 3.5
 3.5
 0
Balance of Trade (USD Billion)
 -78.31
 -55
 -75
 -50
 -110
 0
Current Account (USD Billion)
 -251.30
 -230
 -240
 -220
 -250
 0
Non Manufacturing PMI (points)
 50.00
 50
 52
 51.5
 51
 0
Manufacturing PMI (points)
 52.00
 52.3
 52
 51.3
 50.7
 0
Services PMI (points)
 54.20
 52
 51
 50.4
 50.6
 0
Business Confidence (points)
 49.10
 51
 52
 53
 54
 0
Consumer Confidence (points)
 55.10
 53
 54
 55
 52
 0
Retail Sales MoM (%)
 0.60
 -0.4
 0.5
 0.3
 -0.1
 0
Building Permits (Thousand)
 1330.00
 1350
 1300
 1320
 1360
 0
GDP Constant Prices (USD Billion)
 23771.00
 23964
 23949
 24223
 24199
 0
Gross National Product (USD Billion)
 23773.90
 24013
 23968
 24226
 24202
 0
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (USD Billion)
 4380.50
 4328
 4407
 4464
 4459
 0
GDP from Services (USD Billion)
 17305.60
 17413
 17448
 17634
 17617
 0
GDP from Transport (USD Billion)
 744.00
 759
 748
 758
 757
 0
GDP from Construction (USD Billion)
 890.90
 895
 897
 908
 907
 0
GDP from Manufacturing (USD Billion)
 2405.00
 2411
 2377
 2451
 2448
 0
GDP from Public Administration (USD Billion)
 2603.20
 2658
 2669
 2653
 2650
 0
GDP from Agriculture (USD Billion)
 196.00
 209
 200
 200
 200
 0
GDP from Mining (USD Billion)
 365.70
 367
 349
 373
 372
 0
GDP from Utilities (USD Billion)
 340.60
 365
 361
 347
 347
 0
Nonfarm Payrolls Private (Thousand)
 38.00
 90
 70
 80
 85
 0
Initial Jobless Claims (Thousand)
 218.00
 270
 250
 240
 290
 0
Continuing Jobless Claims (Thousand)
 1926.00
 1950
 2020
 2050
 2110
 0
ADP Employment Change (Thousand)
 -32.00
 70
 80
 85
 75
 0
Employed Persons (Thousand)
 163394.00
 162500
 162500
 161000
 161000
 0
Unemployed Persons (Thousand )
 7384.00
 7340
 7350
 7400
 7360
 0
Average Hourly Earnings (%)
 0.30
 0.3
 0.2
 0.2
 0.2
 0
Average Weekly Hours (Hours)
 34.20
 34.2
 34.1
 34.2
 34.2
 0
Labor Force Participation Rate (%)
 62.30
 62.2
 62.1
 62
 62
 0
Long Term Unemployment Rate (%)
 1.13
 1
 1
 1.1
 1.1
 0
Youth Unemployment Rate (%)
 10.50
 10.7
 10.7
 10.7
 10.6
 0
Productivity (points)
 116.14
 117
 118
 119
 119
 0
Labour Costs (points)
 123.62
 126
 128
 128
 128
 0
Job Vacancies (Thousand)
 7235.00
 6900
 6850
 6700
 6600
 0
Job Offers (Thousand)
 7227.00
 6700
 6700
 6500
 6400
 0
Challenger Job Cuts (Persons)
 54064.00
 180000
 90000
 85000
 98000
 0
Wages (USD/Hour)
 31.46
 31.9
 32.12
 32.35
 32.53
 0
Wages in Manufacturing (USD/Hour)
 29.03
 29.46
 29.95
 29.95
 30.02
 0
Wage Growth (%)
 4.86
 4
 3.7
 3.5
 3.4
 0
Employment Cost Index (%)
 0.90
 0.5
 0.4
 0.4
 0.3
 0
U6 Unemployment Rate (%)
 8.10
 8.3
 8.3
 8.3
 8.2
 0
Average Hourly Earnings YoY (%)
 3.70
 3.5
 3.4
 3.4
 3.3
 0
Part Time Employment (Thousand)
 29034.00
 27600
 27300
 26900
 27000
 0
Full Time Employment (Thousand)
 134480.00
 134400
 134200
 134000
 134000
 0
Consumer Price Index CPI (points)
 323.98
 325
 329
 332
 333
 0
Core Inflation Rate (%)
 3.10
 3
 2.9
 2.8
 2.7
 0
Core Consumer Prices (points)
 329.79
 333
 335
 337
 339
 0
GDP Deflator (points)
 127.58
 130
 131
 131
 131
 0
Producer Prices (points)
 149.16
 152
 153
 153
 153
 0
Producer Prices Change (%)
 2.60
 3.2
 3.2
 2.9
 2.8
 0
Export Prices (points)
 153.20
 151
 151
 150
 150
 0
Import Prices (points)
 141.40
 142
 143
 143
 144
 0
Food Inflation (%)
 3.20
 3.5
 3.2
 2.9
 2.8
 0
CPI seasonally adjusted (points)
 323.36
 324
 324
 326
 327
 0
Core PCE Price Index Annual Change (%)
 2.91
 3.1
 2.9
 2.8
 2.7
 0
PCE Price Index Annual Change (%)
 2.74
 3
 2.9
 2.8
 2.7
 0
Core Producer Prices YoY (%)
 2.80
 3.4
 3.5
 3.5
 3.3
 0
Core PCE Price Index MoM (%)
 0.20
 0.1
 0.1
 0.3
 0.2
 0
Core Inflation Rate MoM (%)
 0.30
 0.3
 0.1
 0.2
 0.2
 0
Producer Price Inflation MoM (%)
 -0.10
 0.3
 0.5
 0.2
 0.2
 0
Import Prices YoY (%)
 0.00
 0.5
 0.8
 1.4
 1.5
 0
Inflation Expectations (%)
 3.20
 3.1
 3
 2.9
 3.1
 0
CPI Housing Utilities (points)
 349.28
 349
 353
 357
 359
 0
CPI Transportation (points)
 273.91
 274
 275
 276
 277
 0
Money Supply M2 (USD Billion)
 22195.40
 21750
 21400
 21390
 21370
 0
Central Bank Balance Sheet (USD Million)
 6587119.00
 6590000
 6580000
 6510000
 6530000
 0
Proxy Funds Rate (%)
 4.09
 3.59
 3.59
 3.34
 3.34
 0
Exports (USD Billion)
 280.46
 275
 250
 260
 240
 0
Imports (USD Billion)
 358.78
 330
 325
 310
 350
 0
Crude Oil Production (BBL/D/1K)
 13642.00
 13450
 13400
 13350
 13400
 0
Tourist Arrivals
 6275257.00
 5380000
 5310200
 5490200
 5521000
 0
Composite PMI (points)
 53.90
 51.3
 51
 50.6
 50.5
 0
Industrial Production (%)
 0.90
 2
 1.9
 0.9
 1.1
 0
Manufacturing Production (%)
 0.90
 1.8
 1.7
 1
 1.3
 0
Capacity Utilization (%)
 77.40
 77.6
 77.1
 77
 77
 0
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation (%)
 0.40
 -0.1
 0.4
 0.7
 0.6
 0
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense (%)
 1.90
 -0.2
 0.7
 0.9
 1
 0
Durable Goods Orders (%)
 2.90
 -0.5
 0.9
 1.8
 1.1
 0
Factory Orders Ex Transportation (%)
 0.60
 -0.2
 0.7
 0.8
 0.5
 0
Factory Orders (%)
 -1.30
 -0.3
 0.8
 1
 0.3
 0
Business Inventories (%)
 0.20
 0.2
 0.4
 0.6
 0.4
 0
Wholesale Inventories (%)
 -0.20
 0.1
 0.3
 0.2
 0.1
 0
Bankruptcies (Companies)
 23043.00
 24000
 27500
 29200
 28100
 0
Corporate Profits (USD Billion)
 3259.41
 2900
 2800
 3000
 3100
 0
NFIB Business Optimism Index (points)
 100.80
 97
 99
 101
 102
 0
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
 23.20
 6
 4
 3
 7
 0
Chicago Fed National Activity Index (points)
 -0.12
 -0.5
 0.2
 0.1
 0.1
 0
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
 -17.00
 4
 -2
 -4
 -1
 0
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (points)
 -8.70
 4
 -1
 -10
 -9
 0
Chicago PMI (points)
 40.60
 50
 48
 49
 45
 0
Car Registrations (Thousand)
 241.10
 200
 210
 190
 220
 0
Car Production (Million Units)
 11.04
 10.4
 10.2
 10.6
 10.8
 0
Total Vehicle Sales (Million)
 16.40
 15
 14.8
 14
 14.2
 0
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
 4.00
 6
 2
 -3
 -1
 0
Retail Sales Ex Autos (%)
 0.70
 -0.4
 0.6
 0.4
 -0.1
 0
Retail Sales YoY (%)
 5.00
 2.8
 2.4
 2.5
 2
 0
Consumer Spending (USD Billion)
 16445.70
 16582
 16624
 16758
 16742
 0
Disposable Personal Income (USD Billion)
 23033.50
 21800
 21700
 21600
 21500
 0
Personal Spending (%)
 0.60
 0.3
 0.4
 0.2
 0.1
 0
Personal Income (%)
 0.40
 0.3
 0.4
 0.2
 0.1
 0
Personal Savings (%)
 4.60
 4.1
 3.6
 3.5
 3.8
 0
Consumer Credit (USD Billion)
 16.01
 6
 3
 7
 5
 0
Bank Lending Rate (%)
 7.50
 6.75
 6.75
 6.5
 6.5
 0
Economic Optimism Index (points)
 48.70
 49
 53
 52
 50
 0
Retail Sales Ex Gas and Autos MoM (%)
 0.70
 -0.2
 0.6
 0.3
 -0.1
 0
Gasoline Prices (USD/Liter)
 0.84
 0.88
 0.91
 0.93
 0.93
 0
Housing Starts (Thousand units)
 1307.00
 1300
 1220
 1180
 1290
 0
New Home Sales (Thousand units)
 800.00
 650
 660
 650
 620
 0
Pending Home Sales (%)
 3.80
 1.1
 1.7
 2.3
 2
 0
Existing Home Sales (Thousand)
 4000.00
 4200
 4100
 3800
 3900
 0
Construction Spending (%)
 -0.10
 0.3
 0.4
 0.6
 0.2
 0
Nahb Housing Market Index (points)
 32.00
 37
 50
 52
 50
 0
Mortgage Rate (%)
 6.46
 6.2
 6.2
 6.3
 6.4
 0
Case Shiller Home Price Index YoY (%)
 1.80
 2.3
 2.9
 2.6
 2.4
 0
Case Shiller Home Price Index (points)
 341.95
 340
 349
 352
 350
 0
Crude Oil Rigs
 422.00
 410
 420
 430
 435
 0