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Name ACTUAL Forecast Current Q Forecast Next Q Forecast Next 2 Q Forecast Next 3 Q Forecast Next Year
Currency
 97.73
 99.27
 99.8
 100
 101
 0
Stock Market (points)
 6466.91
 6345
 6248
 6153
 6060
 0
Government Bond 10Y (%)
 4.26
 4.28
 4.25
 4.21
 4.18
 0
GDP Growth Rate (%)
 3.00
 1
 2.1
 1.8
 1.1
 0
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%)
 2.00
 1.7
 2
 1.8
 1.9
 0
Unemployment Rate (%)
 4.20
 4.3
 4.4
 4.4
 4.5
 0
Non Farm Payrolls (Thousand)
 73.00
 70
 100
 120
 140
 0
Inflation Rate (%)
 2.70
 3.2
 2.7
 2.6
 2.5
 0
Inflation Rate MoM (%)
 0.20
 0.2
 0.2
 0.1
 0.4
 0
Interest Rate (%)
 4.50
 4.25
 4
 3.75
 3.75
 0
Balance of Trade (USD Billion)
 -60.18
 -57
 -55
 -75
 -50
 0
Current Account (USD Billion)
 -450.17
 -250
 -230
 -240
 -220
 0
Business Confidence (points)
 48.00
 52
 53
 51
 53
 0
Non Manufacturing PMI (points)
 50.10
 51
 50
 52
 51.5
 0
Manufacturing PMI (points)
 53.30
 51.5
 52.3
 52
 51.3
 0
Services PMI (points)
 55.40
 53
 52
 51
 50.4
 0
Consumer Confidence (points)
 58.60
 57
 53
 54
 55
 0
Retail Sales MoM (%)
 0.50
 -0.2
 0.4
 0.5
 0.3
 0
Building Permits (Thousand)
 1354.00
 1400
 1350
 1300
 1320
 0
GDP Constant Prices (USD Billion)
 23685.30
 23798
 24013
 23936
 24135
 0
Gross National Product (USD Billion)
 23561.70
 23826
 24093
 23986
 24009
 0
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (USD Billion)
 4349.30
 4350
 4351
 4423
 4432
 0
GDP from Services (USD Billion)
 17036.10
 17237
 17392
 17343
 17360
 0
GDP from Construction (USD Billion)
 872.50
 878
 891
 888
 889
 0
GDP from Transport (USD Billion)
 727.30
 734
 745
 740
 741
 0
GDP from Manufacturing (USD Billion)
 2406.60
 2444
 2455
 2450
 2452
 0
GDP from Public Administration (USD Billion)
 2666.10
 2680
 2706
 2714
 2717
 0
GDP from Mining (USD Billion)
 333.10
 343
 350
 339
 339
 0
GDP from Utilities (USD Billion)
 343.60
 347
 358
 350
 350
 0
GDP from Agriculture (USD Billion)
 187.70
 207
 208
 191
 191
 0
Nonfarm Payrolls Private (Thousand)
 83.00
 80
 90
 70
 80
 0
Initial Jobless Claims (Thousand)
 235.00
 265
 270
 250
 240
 0
Continuing Jobless Claims (Thousand)
 1972.00
 1990
 1990
 2020
 2050
 0
ADP Employment Change (Thousand)
 104.00
 100
 120
 180
 100
 0
Employed Persons (Thousand)
 163106.00
 162500
 162500
 162500
 161000
 0
Unemployed Persons (Thousand )
 7236.00
 7300
 7340
 7350
 7400
 0
Average Hourly Earnings (%)
 0.30
 0.2
 0.3
 0.2
 0.2
 0
Average Weekly Hours (Hours)
 34.30
 34.2
 34.2
 34.1
 34.2
 0
Labor Force Participation Rate (%)
 62.20
 62.5
 62.2
 62.1
 62
 0
Long Term Unemployment Rate (%)
 1.07
 0.9
 1
 1
 1.1
 0
Youth Unemployment Rate (%)
 10.00
 10.1
 10.2
 10.2
 10.3
 0
Labour Costs (points)
 123.62
 125
 126
 128
 128
 0
Productivity (points)
 115.88
 116
 117
 118
 119
 0
Job Vacancies (Thousand)
 7171.00
 7750
 6900
 6850
 6700
 0
Job Offers (Thousand)
 7437.00
 7200
 7000
 6900
 6800
 0
Challenger Job Cuts (Persons)
 62075.00
 150000
 180000
 90000
 85000
 0
Wages (USD/Hour)
 31.34
 31.66
 31.9
 32.12
 32.35
 0
Wages in Manufacturing (USD/Hour)
 28.96
 29.19
 29.46
 29.95
 29.97
 0
Wage Growth (%)
 4.78
 4.2
 4
 3.7
 3.5
 0
Employment Cost Index (%)
 0.90
 0.6
 0.5
 0.4
 0.4
 0
U6 Unemployment Rate (%)
 7.90
 8
 8.1
 8.1
 8.2
 0
Average Hourly Earnings YoY (%)
 3.90
 3.7
 3.5
 3.4
 3.4
 0
Part Time Employment (Thousand)
 28437.00
 28200
 27600
 27300
 26900
 0
Full Time Employment (Thousand)
 134837.00
 134500
 134400
 134200
 134000
 0
Consumer Price Index CPI (points)
 323.05
 325
 324
 328
 331
 0
Core Inflation Rate (%)
 3.10
 3
 3
 2.9
 2.7
 0
Core Consumer Prices (points)
 328.66
 330
 333
 335
 336
 0
GDP Deflator (points)
 128.06
 130
 130
 131
 131
 0
Producer Prices (points)
 149.67
 150
 152
 153
 153
 0
Producer Prices Change (%)
 3.30
 3
 3.2
 3.2
 2.9
 0
Export Prices (points)
 152.50
 152
 151
 151
 150
 0
Import Prices (points)
 141.50
 141
 142
 143
 143
 0
Food Inflation (%)
 2.90
 3.1
 3.2
 3
 2.9
 0
CPI seasonally adjusted (points)
 322.13
 323
 323
 324
 325
 0
Import Prices YoY (%)
 -0.20
 0.1
 0.5
 0.8
 1.4
 0
Core Inflation Rate MoM (%)
 0.30
 0.1
 0.3
 0.1
 0.2
 0
Core PCE Price Index MoM (%)
 0.30
 0.3
 0.1
 0.1
 0.3
 0
Producer Price Inflation MoM (%)
 0.90
 0.5
 0.3
 0.5
 0.2
 0
Core PCE Price Index Annual Change (%)
 2.80
 2.6
 2.5
 2.3
 2.3
 0
PCE Price Index Annual Change (%)
 2.60
 2.2
 2.1
 2
 2.1
 0
Core Producer Prices YoY (%)
 3.70
 3.2
 3.4
 3.5
 3.5
 0
Inflation Expectations (%)
 3.10
 3.1
 3.1
 3
 2.9
 0
CPI Housing Utilities (points)
 348.21
 348
 348
 352
 356
 0
CPI Transportation (points)
 273.45
 274
 275
 275
 276
 0
Money Supply M2 (USD Billion)
 22020.80
 21800
 21750
 21400
 21390
 0
Central Bank Balance Sheet (USD Million)
 6618415.00
 6630000
 6600000
 6580000
 6510000
 0
Proxy Funds Rate (%)
 4.31
 4.06
 3.81
 3.56
 3.56
 0
Exports (USD Billion)
 277.30
 281
 275
 250
 260
 0
Imports (USD Billion)
 337.48
 338
 330
 325
 310
 0
Crude Oil Production (BBL/D/1K)
 13488.00
 13500
 13450
 13400
 13350
 0
Tourist Arrivals
 5634382.00
 5400000
 5380000
 5310200
 5490200
 0
Composite PMI (points)
 55.40
 52
 51.3
 51
 50.6
 0
Industrial Production (%)
 1.40
 1.6
 2
 1.9
 0.9
 0
Manufacturing Production (%)
 1.40
 1.3
 1.8
 1.7
 1
 0
Capacity Utilization (%)
 77.50
 77.4
 77.6
 77.1
 77
 0
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation (%)
 0.20
 -0.2
 -0.1
 0.4
 0.7
 0
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense (%)
 -9.40
 -1
 -0.2
 0.7
 0.9
 0
Durable Goods Orders (%)
 -9.30
 -1.2
 -0.5
 0.9
 1.8
 0
Factory Orders Ex Transportation (%)
 0.40
 -0.5
 -0.2
 0.7
 0.8
 0
Factory Orders (%)
 -4.80
 -0.7
 -0.3
 0.8
 1
 0
Business Inventories (%)
 0.20
 0.3
 0.2
 0.4
 0.6
 0
Wholesale Inventories (%)
 0.10
 -0.3
 0.1
 0.3
 0.2
 0
Bankruptcies (Companies)
 23043.00
 24300
 24000
 27500
 29200
 0
Corporate Profits (USD Billion)
 3203.60
 3200
 2900
 2800
 3000
 0
NFIB Business Optimism Index (points)
 100.30
 98
 97
 99
 101
 0
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (points)
 11.90
 5
 4
 -1
 -10
 0
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
 -0.30
 8
 6
 4
 3
 0
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
 -20.00
 8
 4
 -2
 5
 0
Chicago PMI (points)
 47.10
 41
 50
 48
 49
 0
Total Vehicle Sales (Million)
 16.41
 15.2
 15
 14.8
 14
 0
Car Production (Million Units)
 10.58
 10.5
 10.4
 10.2
 10.6
 0
Car Registrations (Thousand)
 221.20
 210
 200
 210
 190
 0
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
 -3.00
 2
 6
 2
 3
 0
Retail Sales Ex Autos (%)
 0.30
 -0.1
 0.5
 0.6
 0.4
 0
Retail Sales YoY (%)
 3.90
 3.5
 3.1
 3
 2.5
 0
Consumer Spending (USD Billion)
 16350.20
 16387
 16599
 16585
 16661
 0
Disposable Personal Income (USD Billion)
 22537.20
 22080
 21800
 21700
 21600
 0
Personal Spending (%)
 0.30
 0.1
 0.3
 0.4
 0.2
 0
Personal Income (%)
 0.30
 0.4
 0.3
 0.4
 0.2
 0
Personal Savings (%)
 4.50
 4.4
 4.1
 3.6
 3.5
 0
Consumer Credit (USD Billion)
 7.37
 -8
 6
 12
 7
 0
Bank Lending Rate (%)
 7.50
 7.25
 7
 6.75
 6.75
 0
Economic Optimism Index (points)
 50.90
 49
 52
 53
 52
 0
Retail Sales Ex Gas and Autos MoM (%)
 0.20
 -0.5
 0.5
 0.6
 0.3
 0
Gasoline Prices (USD/Liter)
 0.83
 0.84
 0.85
 0.86
 0.88
 0
Housing Starts (Thousand units)
 1428.00
 1340
 1300
 1220
 1180
 0
New Home Sales (Thousand units)
 627.00
 680
 650
 660
 650
 0
Pending Home Sales (%)
 -2.80
 0.9
 1.1
 1.7
 2.3
 0
Existing Home Sales (Thousand)
 4010.00
 3900
 4200
 4100
 3800
 0
Construction Spending (%)
 -0.40
 0.2
 0.3
 0.4
 0.6
 0
Nahb Housing Market Index (points)
 32.00
 38
 43
 50
 52
 0
Mortgage Rate (%)
 6.68
 6.8
 6.6
 6.4
 6.3
 0
Case Shiller Home Price Index YoY (%)
 2.80
 1.6
 2.3
 2.9
 2.6
 0
Case Shiller Home Price Index (points)
 342.97
 339
 340
 349
 352
 0
Crude Oil Rigs
 411.00
 460
 450
 440
 450
 0