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Name ACTUAL Forecast Current Q Forecast Next Q Forecast Next 2 Q Forecast Next 3 Q Forecast Next Year
Currency
 98.69
 98.51
 99.39
 100
 101
 0
Stock Market (points)
 6238.01
 6234
 6083
 5936
 5793
 0
Government Bond 10Y (%)
 4.23
 4.34
 4.28
 4.22
 4.17
 0
GDP Growth Rate (%)
 3.00
 1
 2.1
 1.8
 1.1
 0
GDP Annual Growth Rate (%)
 2.00
 1.7
 2
 1.8
 1.9
 0
Unemployment Rate (%)
 4.20
 4.3
 4.4
 4.4
 4.5
 0
Non Farm Payrolls (Thousand)
 73.00
 70
 100
 120
 140
 0
Inflation Rate (%)
 2.70
 3.2
 2.7
 2.6
 2.5
 0
Inflation Rate MoM (%)
 0.30
 0.2
 0.2
 0.1
 0.4
 0
Interest Rate (%)
 4.50
 4.25
 4
 3.75
 3.75
 0
Balance of Trade (USD Billion)
 -71.52
 -57
 -55
 -75
 -50
 0
Current Account (USD Billion)
 -450.17
 -250
 -230
 -240
 -220
 0
Business Confidence (points)
 48.00
 52
 53
 51
 53
 0
Manufacturing PMI (points)
 49.80
 51.5
 52.3
 52
 51.3
 0
Non Manufacturing PMI (points)
 50.80
 51
 50
 52
 51.5
 0
Services PMI (points)
 55.20
 53
 52
 51
 50.4
 0
Consumer Confidence (points)
 61.70
 57
 53
 54
 55
 0
Retail Sales MoM (%)
 0.60
 -0.2
 0.4
 0.5
 0.3
 0
Building Permits (Thousand)
 1393.00
 1400
 1350
 1300
 1320
 0
GDP Constant Prices (USD Billion)
 23685.30
 23798
 24013
 23936
 24135
 0
Gross National Product (USD Billion)
 23561.70
 23826
 24093
 23986
 24009
 0
Gross Fixed Capital Formation (USD Billion)
 4349.30
 4350
 4351
 4423
 4432
 0
GDP from Manufacturing (USD Billion)
 2406.60
 2444
 2455
 2450
 2452
 0
GDP from Public Administration (USD Billion)
 2666.10
 2680
 2706
 2714
 2717
 0
GDP from Services (USD Billion)
 17036.10
 17237
 17392
 17343
 17360
 0
GDP from Construction (USD Billion)
 872.50
 878
 891
 888
 889
 0
GDP from Transport (USD Billion)
 727.30
 734
 745
 740
 741
 0
GDP from Mining (USD Billion)
 333.10
 343
 350
 339
 339
 0
GDP from Utilities (USD Billion)
 343.60
 347
 358
 350
 350
 0
GDP from Agriculture (USD Billion)
 187.70
 207
 208
 191
 191
 0
Nonfarm Payrolls Private (Thousand)
 83.00
 80
 90
 70
 80
 0
Initial Jobless Claims (Thousand)
 218.00
 265
 270
 250
 240
 0
Continuing Jobless Claims (Thousand)
 1946.00
 1990
 1990
 2020
 2050
 0
ADP Employment Change (Thousand)
 104.00
 100
 120
 180
 100
 0
Employed Persons (Thousand)
 163106.00
 162500
 162500
 162500
 161000
 0
Unemployed Persons (Thousand )
 7236.00
 7300
 7340
 7350
 7400
 0
Average Hourly Earnings (%)
 0.30
 0.2
 0.3
 0.2
 0.2
 0
Average Weekly Hours (Hours)
 34.30
 34.2
 34.2
 34.1
 34.2
 0
Labor Force Participation Rate (%)
 62.20
 62.5
 62.2
 62.1
 62
 0
Long Term Unemployment Rate (%)
 1.07
 0.9
 1
 1
 1.1
 0
Youth Unemployment Rate (%)
 10.00
 10.1
 10.2
 10.2
 10.3
 0
Productivity (points)
 115.49
 116
 117
 118
 119
 0
Labour Costs (points)
 122.24
 125
 125
 127
 127
 0
Job Vacancies (Thousand)
 7171.00
 7750
 6900
 6850
 6700
 0
Job Offers (Thousand)
 7437.00
 7200
 7000
 6900
 6800
 0
Challenger Job Cuts (Persons)
 62075.00
 150000
 180000
 90000
 85000
 0
Wages (USD/Hour)
 31.24
 31.66
 31.9
 32.12
 32.33
 0
Wages in Manufacturing (USD/Hour)
 28.87
 29.19
 29.46
 29.95
 29.88
 0
Wage Growth (%)
 4.78
 4.2
 4
 3.7
 3.5
 0
Employment Cost Index (%)
 0.90
 0.6
 0.5
 0.4
 0.4
 0
U6 Unemployment Rate (%)
 7.90
 8
 8.1
 8.1
 8.2
 0
Average Hourly Earnings YoY (%)
 3.90
 3.7
 3.5
 3.4
 3.4
 0
Full Time Employment (Thousand)
 134837.00
 134500
 134400
 134200
 134000
 0
Part Time Employment (Thousand)
 28437.00
 28200
 27600
 27300
 26900
 0
Consumer Price Index CPI (points)
 322.56
 325
 324
 328
 331
 0
Core Inflation Rate (%)
 2.90
 3
 3
 2.9
 2.7
 0
Core Consumer Prices (points)
 327.60
 330
 333
 335
 336
 0
GDP Deflator (points)
 128.06
 130
 130
 131
 131
 0
Producer Prices (points)
 148.24
 150
 152
 153
 153
 0
Producer Prices Change (%)
 2.30
 3
 3.2
 3.2
 2.9
 0
Export Prices (points)
 152.50
 152
 151
 151
 150
 0
Import Prices (points)
 141.30
 141
 142
 143
 143
 0
Food Inflation (%)
 3.00
 3.1
 3.2
 3
 2.9
 0
CPI seasonally adjusted (points)
 321.50
 322
 323
 323
 324
 0
Import Prices YoY (%)
 -0.20
 0.1
 0.5
 0.8
 1.4
 0
Producer Price Inflation MoM (%)
 0.00
 0.5
 0.3
 0.5
 0.2
 0
Core Inflation Rate MoM (%)
 0.20
 0.1
 0.3
 0.1
 0.2
 0
Core PCE Price Index MoM (%)
 0.30
 0.3
 0.1
 0.1
 0.3
 0
Core PCE Price Index Annual Change (%)
 2.80
 2.6
 2.5
 2.3
 2.3
 0
Core Producer Prices YoY (%)
 2.60
 3.2
 3.4
 3.5
 3.5
 0
PCE Price Index Annual Change (%)
 2.60
 2.2
 2.1
 2
 2.1
 0
Inflation Expectations (%)
 3.00
 3.1
 3.1
 3
 2.9
 0
CPI Housing Utilities (points)
 347.59
 348
 348
 352
 356
 0
CPI Transportation (points)
 273.39
 274
 274
 275
 276
 0
Money Supply M2 (USD Billion)
 22020.80
 21800
 21750
 21400
 21390
 0
Central Bank Balance Sheet (USD Million)
 6642578.00
 6630000
 6600000
 6580000
 6510000
 0
Proxy Funds Rate (%)
 4.42
 4.17
 3.92
 3.67
 3.67
 0
Exports (USD Billion)
 279.00
 281
 275
 250
 260
 0
Imports (USD Billion)
 350.52
 338
 330
 325
 310
 0
Crude Oil Production (BBL/D/1K)
 13488.00
 13500
 13450
 13400
 13350
 0
Tourist Arrivals
 5634382.00
 5400000
 5380000
 5310200
 5490200
 0
Composite PMI (points)
 54.60
 52
 51.3
 51
 50.6
 0
Industrial Production (%)
 0.70
 1.6
 2
 1.9
 0.9
 0
Manufacturing Production (%)
 0.80
 1.3
 1.8
 1.7
 1
 0
Capacity Utilization (%)
 77.60
 77.4
 77.6
 77.1
 77
 0
Durable Goods Orders Ex Transportation (%)
 0.20
 -0.2
 -0.1
 0.4
 0.7
 0
Durable Goods Orders Ex Defense (%)
 -9.40
 -1
 -0.2
 0.7
 0.9
 0
Durable Goods Orders (%)
 -9.30
 -1.2
 -0.5
 0.9
 1.8
 0
Factory Orders Ex Transportation (%)
 0.20
 -0.5
 -0.2
 0.7
 0.8
 0
Factory Orders (%)
 8.20
 -0.7
 -0.3
 0.8
 1
 0
Business Inventories (%)
 0.00
 0.3
 0.2
 0.4
 0.6
 0
Wholesale Inventories (%)
 0.20
 -0.3
 0.1
 0.3
 0.2
 0
Bankruptcies (Companies)
 23309.00
 24300
 24000
 27500
 29200
 0
Corporate Profits (USD Billion)
 3203.60
 3200
 2900
 2800
 3000
 0
NFIB Business Optimism Index (points)
 98.60
 98
 97
 99
 101
 0
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
 15.90
 8
 6
 4
 3
 0
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (points)
 5.50
 5
 4
 -1
 -10
 0
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
 -20.00
 8
 4
 -2
 5
 0
Chicago PMI (points)
 47.10
 41
 50
 48
 49
 0
Car Registrations (Thousand)
 216.90
 210
 200
 210
 190
 0
Car Production (Million Units)
 10.85
 10.5
 10.4
 10.2
 10.6
 0
Total Vehicle Sales (Million)
 15.30
 15.2
 15
 14.8
 14
 0
Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index (points)
 -3.00
 2
 6
 2
 3
 0
Retail Sales Ex Autos (%)
 0.50
 -0.1
 0.5
 0.6
 0.4
 0
Retail Sales YoY (%)
 3.90
 3.5
 3.1
 3
 2.5
 0
Consumer Spending (USD Billion)
 16350.20
 16387
 16599
 16585
 16661
 0
Disposable Personal Income (USD Billion)
 22454.56
 22080
 21800
 21700
 21600
 0
Personal Spending (%)
 0.30
 0.1
 0.3
 0.4
 0.2
 0
Personal Income (%)
 0.30
 0.4
 0.3
 0.4
 0.2
 0
Personal Savings (%)
 4.50
 4.4
 4.1
 3.6
 3.5
 0
Consumer Credit (USD Billion)
 5.10
 -8
 6
 12
 7
 0
Bank Lending Rate (%)
 7.50
 7.25
 7
 6.75
 6.75
 0
Economic Optimism Index (points)
 48.60
 49
 52
 53
 52
 0
Retail Sales Ex Gas and Autos MoM (%)
 0.60
 -0.5
 0.5
 0.6
 0.3
 0
Gasoline Prices (USD/Liter)
 0.83
 0.79
 0.81
 0.83
 0.84
 0
Housing Starts (Thousand units)
 1321.00
 1340
 1300
 1220
 1180
 0
New Home Sales (Thousand units)
 627.00
 680
 650
 660
 650
 0
Pending Home Sales (%)
 -2.80
 0.9
 1.1
 1.7
 2.3
 0
Existing Home Sales (Thousand)
 3930.00
 3900
 4200
 4100
 3800
 0
Construction Spending (%)
 -0.40
 0.2
 0.3
 0.4
 0.6
 0
Nahb Housing Market Index (points)
 33.00
 38
 43
 50
 52
 0
Mortgage Rate (%)
 6.83
 6.8
 6.6
 6.4
 6.3
 0
Case Shiller Home Price Index YoY (%)
 2.80
 1.6
 2.3
 2.9
 2.6
 0
Case Shiller Home Price Index (points)
 342.97
 339
 340
 349
 352
 0
Crude Oil Rigs
 410.00
 460
 450
 440
 450
 0

Investment involves risk. As a general rule, you should only trade in financial products that you are familiar with and understand the risk associated with them. The risk warning described in each financial product below is not exhaustive, you should carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior making any investment.

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